Mav
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Post by Mav on Dec 31, 2012 21:00:26 GMT -8
Here's last years predictions (from the old AFB) I'm pretty impressed the groups average prediction was only about 6% off the actual. Capablanca $405.00 Mstefa $499.00 Incorrigible $509.50 Tantoday $516.00 Lovemyipad $520.00 Afterglow $525.00 Mav $540.00 Macorange $540.00 RedShirtedEnsign $544.00 JohnG $550.00 Burgess $567.00 JJJZ $584.00 Omacvi $625.00 Gregg Thurman $685.00 McharlieM $710.00 2 Cents $770.00 Average $568.09 Congrats to Afterglow on being closest to the mark! A close race, decided by just 33 cents... |
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Dec 31, 2012 21:06:06 GMT -8
iPad, we got a deadline on this "contest"?
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Post by PikesPique on Jan 1, 2013 1:24:04 GMT -8
As long as we're WAGging...
ATH : 873
12/31/13: 782
(/muted optimism)
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Post by rickag on Jan 1, 2013 8:02:02 GMT -8
ATH $910
Close 12/31/13 $710
Jan 14 expiration $780
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macorange
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Post by macorange on Jan 1, 2013 8:29:47 GMT -8
Mav and I lost by 33 cents, so we need to sharpen our pencils this time.
My most likely case this year is also my worst case: ATH 790, 12/31 640
If the economy overall does well and the iPhone continues its outsized growth, then the sky is the limit for the best case.
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Post by Tetrachloride on Jan 1, 2013 10:46:50 GMT -8
750 would be my bottom scraper for post October earnings. I'm more at 820-850, but going higher related to gross margin. By Dec 4, I expect 820-920 as the holiday season is underway. Note: this does not include new products such as Apple television, but it does include improvements to the US economy, Apple gross margin and iPad mini mania. |
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jan 1, 2013 10:51:08 GMT -8
Not sure if Apple TV is a this year thing. Content over technology...the tech is there IMHO.
Television is quite niche compared to ultraportable and pocketable computing. Halo yes, Apple's long-term future hardly.
Highly doubtful Apple is at any point at a huge content negotiations disadvantage vs. competition. Throw in Eddy Cue and Apple's ease of use DNA, and worst-case, Apple follows the competition into the smart TV space. Huh, same as it did with iPhone and iPad and Mac and iPod.
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Post by moltenfire on Jan 1, 2013 14:37:48 GMT -8
ATH probably in late July to Sept, ~$830-850. Dec 31, 2013: $702 with PE at 12.
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Post by prazan on Jan 1, 2013 19:52:00 GMT -8
Following the idea that as soon as you can see a pattern the pattern changes, I'll forecast an ATH of 797 and an end of year price of 780, all taking place in December.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on Jan 2, 2013 1:52:13 GMT -8
Not sure if Apple TV is a this year thing. Content over technology...the tech is there IMHO. Television is quite niche compared to ultraportable and pocketable computing. Halo yes, Apple's long-term future hardly. Highly doubtful Apple is at any point at a huge content negotiations disadvantage vs. competition. Throw in Eddy Cue and Apple's ease of use DNA, and worst-case, Apple follows the competition into the smart TV space. Huh, same as it did with iPhone and iPad and Mac and iPod. TVs are definitely not going to be as big a opportunity as iPhones/iPads, but is a bigger opportunity than Macs are. More importantly a TV may be needed as a defense mechanism for the iOS ecosystem. |
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Post by elmar on Jan 2, 2013 3:09:19 GMT -8
Let me join the gamble. My prediction:
ATH: $850 around October
Year end: $790
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Post by phoebear611 on Jan 2, 2013 4:01:13 GMT -8
WAG: ATH $841 Year end: $790
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Post by newton on Jan 6, 2013 21:17:12 GMT -8
When is the deadline for predictions? I'm really interested in seeing what the group average will be.
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jan 6, 2013 21:34:51 GMT -8
iPad's rules. (I'm procrastinating on this one. ;D)
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Post by lovemyipad on Jan 6, 2013 21:48:15 GMT -8
I don't know. When should the deadline be??
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Post by PikesPique on Jan 7, 2013 6:21:04 GMT -8
Deadline should be pre-ER. We will all adjust after that.
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Post by lovemyipad on Jan 7, 2013 16:19:01 GMT -8
Deadline should be pre-ER. We will all adjust after that. Sounds good!! |
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jan 7, 2013 16:25:27 GMT -8
Guess I've got about two weeks to whip up a WAG...
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Post by Xphilos on Feb 3, 2013 16:59:58 GMT -8
Anyone care to revisit this subject? My WAG is 700 and/or a PE of 14.
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Feb 3, 2013 17:03:16 GMT -8
Shucks. Too late. Maybe it's better I didn't give a target.  |
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