chinacat
Moderator
AAPL Long since 2006
Posts: 4,425
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Post by chinacat on Sept 6, 2019 4:54:53 GMT -8
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4aapl
Moderator
Posts: 3,598
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Post by 4aapl on Sept 6, 2019 6:42:58 GMT -8
Nice! I should have taken more interest when a neighbor a few condos over in Cupertino showed me his Apple 1 in his garage 15 years ago. It looks like this is the only kit SmartyKit has listed so far at that website (http://smartykit.org), but there are lots of various maker kits out there, that vary from snap together to soldering. We did one, I think Car 3.0 with an Arduino, last xmas. The hope of excitement over programming was never met, at least so far, but it was a fun building project.
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walterwhite
Member
"I am the one who knocks!"... Albuquerque, NM
Posts: 346
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Post by walterwhite on Sept 6, 2019 7:02:36 GMT -8
katy huberty $247 price target
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Post by sponge on Sept 6, 2019 7:27:29 GMT -8
Someone just bought $18 million worth of 195 Nov puts.
I am in cash and will make a play on Tuesday for the sell off I anticipated post event.
My targets the next 4 months are between 170-220
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chinacat
Moderator
AAPL Long since 2006
Posts: 4,425
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Post by chinacat on Sept 6, 2019 7:52:11 GMT -8
Someone just bought $18 million worth of 195 Nov puts. I am in cash and will make a play on Tuesday for the sell off I anticipated post event. My targets the next 4 months are between 170-220 “Don’t Invest in Apple Until Tim Cook is fired.” So I take it that you don’t consider what you do to be “investing”?
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walterwhite
Member
"I am the one who knocks!"... Albuquerque, NM
Posts: 346
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Post by walterwhite on Sept 6, 2019 8:24:06 GMT -8
My targets the next 4 months last 4 months are between 170-220 spongieeeee! missed you!
FIFY above... now looks perfect!
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Post by gtrplyr on Sept 6, 2019 9:59:25 GMT -8
katy huberty $247 price target
This, coupled with a lower priced iPhone for certain markets like India will drive AAPL to new highs. IMHO .... At some point WS will have to re-evaluate AAPL's PE based on the fact that they are now more in line with a "services" company. Cheers to the longs.
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Post by zzmac on Sept 6, 2019 11:04:08 GMT -8
Someone just bought $18 million worth of 195 Nov puts. I am in cash and will make a play on Tuesday for the sell off I anticipated post event. My targets the next 4 months are between 170-220 Why not properly cover your targets and just go 120-350? Preferred Trump bashing to this nonsense starting up again.
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ems
Member
Posts: 97
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Post by ems on Sept 6, 2019 11:29:13 GMT -8
$18M puts: probably part of a multi-leg hedge. Even if just straight up, seems unlikely they would ever be ITM. Maybe someone is hoping for a quick scalp before the event, since afterwards IV is going to drop significantly and theta will eat away at any value those have rather quickly.
Sell off - there might be one but it should be short and shallow. Any positive news re: trade "war" will send AAPL and the rest of the market upwards. (not sure how it is really a "war" when you pick a fight you can't win, and it all ends up being for naught with capitulation as the only end-game... but whatever.)
new iPhone SE would be nice, for any market, particularly USA.
Apple I: I had an option to buy one in the early 90s for about $15k. I didn't, but in retrospect, should have. It was a lot of $ for a gamble back then.
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chinacat
Moderator
AAPL Long since 2006
Posts: 4,425
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Post by chinacat on Sept 6, 2019 13:04:04 GMT -8
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benoir
fire starter
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Posts: 1,314
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Post by benoir on Sept 6, 2019 16:18:49 GMT -8
And perhaps that’s how they’re thinking about entering the automotive space...
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ono
Member
compensation
Posts: 537
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Post by ono on Sept 6, 2019 17:05:07 GMT -8
Why does Apple want to issue $7B in bonds? My answer was: To basically maintain debt at $100B, so they can go cash neutral while maintaining a $100B in cash - as a war chest. They’re in no hurry to pay the overseas tax ahead of their installment plan requirements. They’re making money keeping those amounts invested until the required payment tranche. Oh, and the interest on the new $7B after tax benefits is essentially paid for with their investment proceeds. “Free money (and chicks for free).”
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Post by rickag on Sept 6, 2019 17:25:00 GMT -8
Someone just bought $18 million worth of 195 Nov puts. I am in cash and will make a play on Tuesday for the sell off I anticipated post event. My targets the next 4 months are between 170-220 Been awhile since your last post, have you been out of town/country? I still haven’t pursued learning about selling volatility at Tastyworks, They do have a lot of learning tools/webinars. With all the gyrations in the market, placing strangles,straddles, iron condors, etc. might style be a good way the beat the market. No way I would place naked puts or calls in this market climate.
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Post by therealmercel on Sept 7, 2019 0:13:10 GMT -8
$18M puts: probably part of a multi-leg hedge. Even if just straight up, seems unlikely they would ever be ITM. Maybe someone is hoping for a quick scalp before the event, since afterwards IV is going to drop significantly and theta will eat away at any value those have rather quickly. Sell off - there might be one but it should be short and shallow. Any positive news re: trade "war" will send AAPL and the rest of the market upwards. (not sure how it is really a "war" when you pick a fight you can't win, and it all ends up being for naught with capitulation as the only end-game... but whatever.) new iPhone SE would be nice, for any market, particularly USA. Apple I: I had an option to buy one in the early 90s for about $15k. I didn't, but in retrospect, should have. It was a lot of $ for a gamble back then. The only thing that makes sense to me.
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SomeJuan
Member
Taking a nap…
Posts: 321
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Post by SomeJuan on Sept 11, 2019 16:30:15 GMT -8
My targets the next 4 months last 4 months are between 170-220 spongieeeee! missed you! FIFY above... now looks perfect! Sponge, over a decade I have read every word of every one of your posts, I am your biggest fan, if only for the comedic value! I truly value your bravado/waffling sir! And what Walter said... FIFY Hi iPad, I miss you! Cheers to the long term investors... PS, what Lucky has said all too long... “insert all of his quotes here”
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Post by sponge on Sept 11, 2019 19:19:01 GMT -8
Everyone is so cocky because we are 5 bucks above my target.
We are one or two twits and one ER from seeing 170.
I recall similar euphoria last year at this time.
I had losses on my puts today but switched to calls and recovered half.
Can’t wait to now get to 75 RSI and short away.
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4aapl
Moderator
Posts: 3,598
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Post by 4aapl on Sept 11, 2019 21:05:24 GMT -8
Everyone is so cocky because we are 5 bucks above my target. We are one or two twits and one ER from seeing 170. I recall similar euphoria last year at this time. FWIW, AAPL is down something like 4% from it's 12 month high, and on the 12 month chart the Dow, S&P, and Nasdaq all beat it. Only by a couple percent, but it's still something. Volatility lives on, and there will be things to set off a drop. OTOH, I think there's still a ways until euphoria sets it. Even using $220 as a decent year ago number, a mere 10% gain from there would be $242. Use the top and 20%, and you get $279. I don't see that happening soon, but imagine if it did there might be a little car talk going on. I feel Apple's next 12 months looks better than the next 12 months from a year ago. The trailing earnings are $11.78 currently, and a P/E of 21 would be lofty IMO (hit last year, but that was a bit euphoric), but 20 would give $235. It can and seems like it may make it beyond there in this run. But I need to knock down the margin a bit so I can take advantage of dips opportunistically. This price level looks good, and maybe I'll sell a tiny bit for kicks in the Roth, but I'll be eyeing a few shares in the main account too over the coming $10. We all have different risk tolerances and goals. While I don't think a dip down to $170 is likely, my purchase of an extra few shares last year was at $185.9, not anywhere near the bottom at $142 or so. Still, 21% in under a year ain't half bad. Good luck all
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Post by sponge on Sept 12, 2019 6:23:51 GMT -8
Sentiment changes quickly. Don’t fight the trend. I see 234 next week. MACD very bullish with RSI looking to hit close to 80 next week. That will be my target to buy Nov puts.
Bought more calls this morning. Already recovered my losses from Tuesday and will be very positive in 24 hours. So I should have a nice pile to go short next week.
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