Seasonal flu - R naught: 1.3 - Mortality rate: 0.1%
COVID-19 - R naught: 2 - Mortality rate: 4.5% (but could be as low as 0.6% in South Korea... over 1% in the US right now)
also... we have a fucking vaccine for the flu and we don't for COVID-19, how hard is it to understand that?! The R-naught for the seasonal flu is mitigated by the vaccine
So we have a combo:
1. covid is more contagious than seasonal flu, and because we don't have a vaccine MUCH more contagious (over 50% population could eventually get it unless social distancing and similar measures are practiced) 2. covid is ~10x as deadly, but perhaps as much as 30x-40x as deadly as the seasonal flu
if NO social distancing measures are put in place it will just grow exponentially (double every few days) until 50%-100% population infected
if you then apply 1% mortality, that's 1.75m-3.5m people in the US...
but even if social distancing and other containment, let's say "only" 5k-10k deaths... those are all in addition to seasonal flu!
like, did you say "no big deal" after 9/11 because many more people die from flu /diabetes/ car accidents/ whatever?
mercel: It's been a long strange trip - good to see you're still around (and in AAPL -my assumption).
May 10, 2019 12:48:32 GMT -5
Zeke: Long time no see. Nice to see familiar names still here.
Mar 25, 2019 14:42:52 GMT -5
sponge: Regarding the future of VR, I think it will be huge. I was a gamer when I was in college. But as an adult I lost interest. Last fall I flew up to visit my son at college and check out his new Vive set up. After playing with it for the weekend, I was
Apr 29, 2018 15:25:17 GMT -5
galleybob: thanks for your answer. I will copy and send to her
Nov 7, 2017 15:32:18 GMT -5
rickag: So since Jan 28th 2015 AAPL is up from 117.27 to 157.21
Aug 21, 2017 20:09:43 GMT -5
artman1033: VXAPL = 29.21 AAPL = $117.27 AFTER EARNINGS
Jan 28, 2015 14:54:46 GMT -5
artman1033: VXAPL = 44.94 AAPL = $110.39 BEFORE EARNINGS
Jan 27, 2015 11:12:53 GMT -5