Mav
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Post by Mav on May 3, 2013 14:35:51 GMT -8
Not a bad week, all in all! Hopefully iPad won't mind if I mind the bar. Just for opening time. Or...something. I'll just be over here pouring myself a glass of fluorescent Mountain Dew...y'know, cuz it's green. ;D
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Post by sponge on May 3, 2013 15:13:36 GMT -8
I had some green Gatorade . It was 93 degrees in South Cal today. I am at a high school badminton tournament . Most of the high school kids have iPhones.
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Post by lovemyipad on May 3, 2013 16:01:58 GMT -8
Thanks, Mav!! No, I never mind!!
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coma
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Post by coma on May 3, 2013 16:03:08 GMT -8
I'll just be over here pouring myself a glass of fluorescent Mountain Dew...y'know, cuz it's green. ;D I'll raise my glass of chardonnay, (chardonnay grape has a green skin) . . . and much better when it's aged
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 3, 2013 16:09:58 GMT -8
A white russian for me. After finishing off a bout of pneumonia, I'm drinking to health and AAPL's rise. And while I'm at it, to convertible weather this weekend in the Pac. N.W (pushing 80 degrees). Car talk will bloom again soon.
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Post by appledoc on May 3, 2013 16:40:05 GMT -8
I'm expecting that I will be buying next week for the first time since 534.
The ride up is way more exciting than the ride down even if you're on the right side of the trade.
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Post by sponge on May 3, 2013 17:07:12 GMT -8
According to the EW guru, we could see 418 after visiting 470.
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Post by prazan on May 3, 2013 17:57:57 GMT -8
A white russian for me. After finishing off a bout of pneumonia, I'm drinking to health and AAPL's rise. And while I'm at it, to convertible weather this weekend in the Pac. N.W (pushing 80 degrees). Car talk will bloom again soon. Nazdravi! Czech for salud, or to your health. It takes awhile to recover from pneumonia, and sometimes you might wonder if you'll ever feel back to normal, but recover you will.
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Mav
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Post by Mav on May 3, 2013 18:19:36 GMT -8
Car talk is a leading indicator, y'know Mercel...
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 3, 2013 18:52:47 GMT -8
I'm expecting that I will be buying next week for the first time since 534. The ride up is way more exciting than the ride down even if you're on the right side of the trade. I'm more nervous after this week's $32.xx rise, than I was after a $32.xx drop during the Great Slide. I did very well this past week and have to admit it feels so unnatural that all the alarms are clanging loudly. What are you going to be looking for at the Open on Monday? I'd like to see much greater volume coupled with AAPL continuing to rise. The P/C Ratio is way over the top with new Puts, enough so that they've moved the ratio on over 3,100,000 contracts from 0.50:1 to 0.72:1. New Puts dwarf new Calls. What is it that all those Put buyers are expecting, and when?
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 3, 2013 20:07:35 GMT -8
Car talk is a leading indicator, y'know Mercel... Don't worry, I'll tip you off with talk about motorcycles first.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 3, 2013 20:10:23 GMT -8
A white russian for me. After finishing off a bout of pneumonia, I'm drinking to health and AAPL's rise. And while I'm at it, to convertible weather this weekend in the Pac. N.W (pushing 80 degrees). Car talk will bloom again soon. Nazdravi! Czech for salud, or to your health. It takes awhile to recover from pneumonia, and sometimes you might wonder if you'll ever feel back to normal, but recover you will. Thanks Prazan. I've NEVER been so sick for so long in my life. Scary stuff. And you're right, having gone through it made me wonder when/if I would recover. It certainly put my portfolio in perspective. Sponge is right about this: "It's only money...." (money is still important but not like one's health).
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Post by moltenfire on May 3, 2013 20:31:24 GMT -8
Well, we certainly held up well in AH
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Post by moltenfire on May 3, 2013 20:32:05 GMT -8
iPad, I'm trialing motivewave because I see that you've been using that software for your charts. Which edition and data provider do you use?
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Mav
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Post by Mav on May 3, 2013 22:20:45 GMT -8
When all else...well... doesn't look quite as it "should" be, look to other geographies! www.macrumors.com/2013/05/03/apples-u-s-smartphone-usage-share-approaches-40/At least I _think_ that's what some of the anti-iOS brigade would say. Extrapolating from past AFB1 posters is all. Apple's doing "OK enough" in the US, but I've little doubt they're thinking along the same lines I am: Greater China is the next hugely important future battlefield...
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Mav
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Post by Mav on May 3, 2013 22:27:52 GMT -8
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Mav
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Post by Mav on May 3, 2013 22:33:15 GMT -8
OMG, was a preview of Jony Ive's flat design aesthetic staring us (or at least me) in the face this entire time? If so, Mr. Paczkowski continues to burnish his rep as well-sourced in Apple stuff, as may have been hinted at indirectly with this could-be-quite-friggin'-clever "puts it all together" graphic: Of course, not all of WSJ is as distinguished: stream.wsj.com/story/apples-new-iphone/SS-2-49206/SS-2-224046/ Protip: Paczkowski "debunked" the article the SAME DAY as your blog post. And you really, really don't want to go up against The Beard when the "yep"/"nope" gauntlet is thrown.
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Post by mace on May 3, 2013 23:00:57 GMT -8
According to the EW guru, we could see 418 after visiting 470. Five waves from $385 to $470 means a bullish impulse, a wave one which means ensuing wave two can retrace nearly 100% of wave one i.e. retest $385. He is quoting the most common 61.8% retracement. Wave one = $385 to $470, length = $85 Wave two's possible price targets: 23.6% = $453 38.2% = $437 50.0% = $427 61.8% = $417 76.4% = $405 It follows that the minimum target for wave five would be $385 + 2.618 * length of wave one = $607
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Post by mace on May 3, 2013 23:03:35 GMT -8
Sponge is right about this: "It's only money...." (money is still important but not like one's health). What about camaraderie?
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Post by phoebear611 on May 4, 2013 2:36:52 GMT -8
I'm expecting that I will be buying next week for the first time since 534. The ride up is way more exciting than the ride down even if you're on the right side of the trade. I'm more nervous after this week's $32.xx rise, than I was after a $32.xx drop during the Great Slide. I did very well this past week and have to admit it feels so unnatural that all the alarms are clanging loudly. What are you going to be looking for at the Open on Monday? I'd like to see much greater volume coupled with AAPL continuing to rise. The P/C Ratio is way over the top with new Puts, enough so that they've moved the ratio on over 3,100,000 contracts from 0.50:1 to 0.72:1. New Puts dwarf new Calls. What is it that all those Put buyers are expecting, and when? I'm not certain if you are being facetious or serious - I lost you .... but, put/call ratio is a contrary indicator. I'm sure you are aware, right? So this is bullish. Is that what you are trying to say here?
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Post by Deleted on May 4, 2013 3:15:50 GMT -8
I'm not certain if you are being facetious or serious - I lost you .... but, put/call ratio is a contrary indicator. I'm sure you are aware, right? So this is bullish. Is that what you are trying to say here? Gregg worries too much about put/call ratio, probably thinking that the buyers of puts know something the put sellers don't. Even if the put writers (institutions) don't know more, they sure as hell have more money and will seek to retain it. I'm with you, more puts equals buying pressure.
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Deleted
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Post by Deleted on May 4, 2013 3:20:47 GMT -8
OMG, was a preview of Jony Ive's flat design aesthetic staring us (or at least me) in the face this entire time? If so, Mr. Paczkowski continues to burnish his rep as well-sourced in Apple stuff, as may have been hinted at indirectly with this could-be-quite-friggin'-clever "puts it all together" graphic: Of course, not all of WSJ is as distinguished: stream.wsj.com/story/apples-new-iphone/SS-2-49206/SS-2-224046/ Protip: Paczkowski "debunked" the article the SAME DAY as your blog post. And you really, really don't want to go up against The Beard when the "yep"/"nope" gauntlet is thrown. The WSJ isn't giving its readers much credit these days. If it continues down this path, it will make a nice sequel to "The Gray Lady Down," a book that savaged the NYT.
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Post by appledoc on May 4, 2013 4:11:10 GMT -8
I'm more nervous after this week's $32.xx rise, than I was after a $32.xx drop during the Great Slide. I did very well this past week and have to admit it feels so unnatural that all the alarms are clanging loudly. What are you going to be looking for at the Open on Monday? I'd like to see much greater volume coupled with AAPL continuing to rise. The P/C Ratio is way over the top with new Puts, enough so that they've moved the ratio on over 3,100,000 contracts from 0.50:1 to 0.72:1. New Puts dwarf new Calls. What is it that all those Put buyers are expecting, and when? I'm not certain if you are being facetious or serious - I lost you .... but, put/call ratio is a contrary indicator. I'm sure you are aware, right? So this is bullish. Is that what you are trying to say here? We've been through this before, but somehow it keeps coming up. Best explanation for why puts are still being purchased? We're at the infancy stages of breaking out of a harsh downtrend. Some are still shorting every rally until proven otherwise. Some will continue to short rallies, much like this entire board was buying much of the way down.
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Post by appledoc on May 4, 2013 4:12:44 GMT -8
469 or successful 50 day/downtrend line retest is my buy trigger. Commons first. Spreads/calls later.
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Post by phoebear611 on May 4, 2013 4:21:35 GMT -8
put/call ratio needs to be thought of as "crowd mentality" and the crowd is usually wrong. Of all the things to look at for direction - this isn't one of the better or worthwhile.
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Post by rezonate on May 4, 2013 5:37:09 GMT -8
"Only when the last tree has died and the last river been poisoned and the last fish been caught will we realise we cannot eat money" ~ Cree Proverb Count Rugen: Ah. Are you coming down into the pit? Wesley's got his strength back. I'm starting him on the machine tonight. Prince Humperdinck: [sincerely] Tyrone, you know how much I love watching you work, but I've got my country's 500th anniversary to plan, my wedding to arrange, my wife to murder and Guilder to frame for it; I'm swamped. Count Rugen: Get some rest. If you haven't got your health, then you haven't got anything.
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Post by qualitywte on May 4, 2013 5:47:56 GMT -8
I am at a high school badminton tournament . Most of the high school kids have iPhones. Oh, they haven't seen the Samsung ad "not your parents iPhone".
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Post by Red Shirted Ensign on May 4, 2013 5:59:17 GMT -8
I'm expecting that I will be buying next week for the first time since 534. The ride up is way more exciting than the ride down even if you're on the right side of the trade. I'm more nervous after this week's $32.xx rise, than I was after a $32.xx drop during the Great Slide. I did very well this past week and have to admit it feels so unnatural that all the alarms are clanging loudly. What are you going to be looking for at the Open on Monday? I'd like to see much greater volume coupled with AAPL continuing to rise. The P/C Ratio is way over the top with new Puts, enough so that they've moved the ratio on over 3,100,000 contracts from 0.50:1 to 0.72:1. New Puts dwarf new Calls. What is it that all those Put buyers are expecting, and when? Gregg, I don't see this as a problem for bulls. The cautionary step for many of buying puts to protect their gains of, say, 10 percent over two weeks is prudent and I welcome the fact that we don't have euphoria.....yet. This ratio works for me as a long.. In edi: phoebes said it better than I did...
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Post by Red Shirted Ensign on May 4, 2013 6:04:06 GMT -8
Mercel, you were sick and you didn't call.?? I would have come over with chicken soup and We could have used your Apple TV to stream Asian movies starring........what's her name. If that didn't work we could have watched all eight seasons of Star Trek TNG.....
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Post by sponge on May 4, 2013 6:14:12 GMT -8
Mercel, you were sick and you didn't call.?? I would have come over with chicken soup and We could have used your Apple TV to stream Asian movies starring........what's her name. If that didn't work we could have watched all eight seasons of Star Trek TNG..... Red That is a perfect picture of Mercel. LOL
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