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Post by sponge on May 29, 2013 8:59:20 GMT -8
Aapl has now spend 4 months in the mid 440s.
It is very flat today. We should break out soon.
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Post by Deleted on May 29, 2013 9:09:53 GMT -8
The complete D11 interview with Mr. Cook is HEREI have no idea in what form an Apple "television", or "wearable" device will take, but after listening to the D11 interview of TC, I believe it is in development. That does not mean to say that Apple has a specific product they intend to deploy at a specific time, just that Apple has a vision and are working towards that vision. Of course, looking at Apple's success of deploying its 'vision', I'd venture that it will be unlike anything WE have envisioned, and we will want it.
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Post by macwire on May 29, 2013 9:11:46 GMT -8
Probably going to be wrong about taking off this week. I still think the chart is healthy, and I still think we're going to take off soon. Continued mid-channel support + daily MACDh about to flip positive + continued bullish divergence on the weekly MACDh + very narrow BB = breakout move to the upside Weekly macd is what I find comforting in long run. I'm still not a swing long tho not yet. When the train starts moving it will have plenty of track to go. Not worried about timing the exact starting point.
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Post by Deleted on May 29, 2013 9:13:39 GMT -8
Aapl has now spend 4 months in the mid 440s. It is very flat today. We should break out soon. Why though? What's the trigger to drive us higher? There is negative earnings growth and no new products being released until the fall. We won't see positive EPS growth until at least January, and even that isn't a given. Personally I believe we're going to be sub $470 until either a new product is released or we see guidance higher than Wall Street expects. Also, I don't consider a refreshed MacBook Air as a new product that will drive us higher, we need something bigger.
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Post by Deleted on May 29, 2013 9:14:06 GMT -8
I see a gap up on open today!....Its not like I'm putting money on it or something. Turns out that's a good thing. Give us a call when you're ready to put your money where your mouth is.
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Post by rickag on May 29, 2013 9:17:12 GMT -8
There is a pretty heft call wall @ $450 for this Friday, seems Fridays pain range is $440 or $445 to $450. Would like AAPL to plow through $450 today or tomorrow. Doubtful. The weeklies suggest a 440-445 close on Friday, subject to change. Your pain is more painful than my pain. I rechecked and adding OI with volume when I downloaded the call wall a 445 was indeed very high, 17049 so unless something triggers the pain will be @ 445.
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Post by appledoc on May 29, 2013 9:18:57 GMT -8
When the train starts moving it will have plenty of track to go. Not worried about timing the exact starting point. I've been preaching this since January. First long since December established last week. Just a small position. Will wait for further confirmation (above 465) of a bottom before I enter again.
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Post by Deleted on May 29, 2013 9:26:52 GMT -8
With TC's comments, such as "We believe very much in the element of surprise," and "Apple to release several Game Changers", seems that it's more than one thing. I think at this point people need to see that first surprise/game changer, to start believing him again. But otherwise, I would imagine comments like those should bake in some extra premium into options prices to account for an unexpected pop. emphasis above is mineWhen questioning Apple about its new product "drought" I think its important to understand how it takes to develop a 'game changer'. How long is that, one may ask? You might also want to consider what a "game changer" is. My answer would be as long as it takes, then, I would ask how many the competition have released since the introduction of the original iMac. Apple has introduced: iMac OSX iPod iTunes Store iPhone Apple Stores MacBook Air App Store iPad not to mention several products that make it all work together and/or better.
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Post by Deleted on May 29, 2013 9:31:34 GMT -8
I presume it was actually a 5S... Can't be, as we all know the 5S has a 6" screen. ROTFLMFAO
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JDSoCal
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Post by JDSoCal on May 29, 2013 9:35:07 GMT -8
The complete D11 interview with Mr. Cook is HEREMS. Jackson from the EPA has been hired by Apple. Apple NOW needs an EPA heavyweight with some production coming to Texas this year. Response:
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Post by rickag on May 29, 2013 9:35:16 GMT -8
greg What, no Flower Power? I remember those days like it was yesterday. edit: Since volume stinks and AAPL is trading sideways I thought a little levity was needed.
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Mav
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Post by Mav on May 29, 2013 9:46:56 GMT -8
Well. This time AAPL is _participating_ in a market mini-rally.
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Post by appledoc on May 29, 2013 10:11:53 GMT -8
If we can break the SMA20 here @ 446.07, I think we'll run to 450 in a hurry and test the SMA100.
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Post by appledoc on May 29, 2013 10:17:11 GMT -8
If we can break the SMA20 here @ 446.07, I think we'll run to 450 in a hurry and test the SMA100. C'mon baby!
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Post by Deleted on May 29, 2013 10:21:24 GMT -8
Since volume stinks and AAPL is trading sideways I thought a little levity was needed. AAPL's trading concerned me, so I closed my BCS position just moments ago for an 8% profit in 24 hours. Better than a poke in the eye with a sharp stick. Have order to Open Weekly $435/$440 BCS in place at $3.78. Requires AAPL to drop, in the next hour, to $443.70ish. Its a Day Order. If not filled will be looking at next weeks expiries.
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Post by Deleted on May 29, 2013 10:23:51 GMT -8
Well now, considering AAPL's move since I closed my position, that wasn't as good a decision as I thought.
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Post by appledoc on May 29, 2013 10:28:12 GMT -8
Not the run I expected. Needs to hold SMA20 at close.
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Mav
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Post by Mav on May 29, 2013 10:32:48 GMT -8
Marking time 'til WWDC? Still constructive tho.
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Post by rickag on May 29, 2013 10:47:02 GMT -8
Well now, considering AAPL's move since I closed my position, that wasn't as good a decision as I thought. You made 8% in 24 hours and it is much better than a poke in the eye. This channeling that AAPL is doing makes it impossible to predict.
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Post by Deleted on May 29, 2013 11:04:49 GMT -8
We're up a few dollars and we haven't had a new Sponge prediction? What's going on?
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Mav
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Post by Mav on May 29, 2013 11:07:01 GMT -8
Holding the upper range. AAPL sleepy but solid. Waiting on the next move, and in the meantime, I got my Jul 13 butterflies.
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Mav
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Post by Mav on May 29, 2013 11:17:12 GMT -8
www.loopinsight.com/2013/05/29/wwdc-expectations/Good article. Questions of timing and Osborne effect probably prevent Apple from announcing anything that's a new iPhone. iPad...we'll see, I'd say if Apple would've planned a separate special event in late June to early July, it'll find a way to launch iPad (5, not a new mini) at WWDC. Will Apple suddenly introduce the A7, A8, etc. before the higher-powered iPad version, as it did last year? Kind of a tech-nerd question, but we'll see, and it does have implications for product cadence. I'm hoping Apple won't launch iPad 5 and iPad mini 2 at the same time this year, and late, but who knows, we're still in the Year of Transition.â„¢ As far as iOS, it wasn't (re)built (or recompiled? ) in a day. As long as there's some more-than-look-and-feel changes to the OS, we should be good. Of course, it's not like Jony Ive took over Forstall's job, or like Forstall coded iOS all by himself, so it's more than fair to start assessing Federighi's leadership right from iOS 7.
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Post by sponge on May 29, 2013 11:23:36 GMT -8
We're up a few dollars and we haven't had a new Sponge prediction? What's going on? It feels good to be missed. The Sponge EW analysis for the week was completed Monday night. We are moving according to plan. Nothing has changed. 450+ by Friday. On a side note this is the third time the stock has moved up after TC has spoken this year. Lets see what it does in two weeks. I am a little concerned that TC made the expectations short term a little too high. I can't see anything service and software related to get all excited about. Unless it deal with iTV API.
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Post by Deleted on May 29, 2013 11:36:35 GMT -8
There sure better be an API announced for AppleTV...why not let Developers create Apps for AppleTV? And get some excitement building for iTV...
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Mav
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Post by Mav on May 29, 2013 11:49:45 GMT -8
JD, how are we on pain range?
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Post by sponge on May 29, 2013 11:56:54 GMT -8
There sure better be an API announced for AppleTV...why not let Developers create Apps for AppleTV? And get some excitement building for iTV... I agree, but would rather see more SIRI integration and improvements in that area. One a side note. Apple can sell 6 million Apple TVs with no ads. I think they can sell 10 million iTVs in the first year for a minimum of $3K each. I want 445 to hold today.
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Post by wheeles on May 29, 2013 12:01:42 GMT -8
I want 445 to hold today. Close, but no cigar.
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Post by terps530 on May 29, 2013 12:26:34 GMT -8
JD, how are we on pain range? for a fella who gets on people sometimes for not googling things, why consistently ask someone what the pain range is? aaplpain.com/?page_id=32 gives you a plot and the intersecting lines is the OI pain. maximum-pain.com/option-data.aspx highlights the max cash pain in yellow for you. it's not like a EW chart or something that requires any interpretation- either method gives you your answer within 5 seconds. ps sorry for being pissy- just had work stuff happen that put me in a bad mood.
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JDSoCal
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Post by JDSoCal on May 29, 2013 12:28:08 GMT -8
JD, how are we on pain range? Well, we nosedived into a 444.98 close, so I'll let you extrapolate where the top calls are piling up.
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Post by appledoc on May 29, 2013 12:42:25 GMT -8
Crap close.
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