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Post by appledoc on Jun 8, 2013 12:19:04 GMT -8
That movie looked like crap. It didn't help that there was a preview for it before every movie released over the past five months.
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Post by dylkeeg77 on Jun 8, 2013 12:34:02 GMT -8
Hi all, long time lurker. First time poster. Just trying to learn this stuff. Question. Would yesterdays low constitute a second inverted right shoulder that would match an inverted left shoulder at the end of January? If so aren't 2 left and 2 right IHS even more bullish? That is assuming appl can break the neckline from here. Thanks.
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 8, 2013 13:10:02 GMT -8
Mercel, wha?! At least wait until it goes to HD rental or something so you can give Apple a cut of the money. And if the movie flops, you won't wait very long. ;D
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2013 13:25:02 GMT -8
I don't want to look it up. It's Saturday morning and I'm still half asleep. Once again, how much did Apple dedicate to the buyback, and the time frame for it to occur. Thanks in advance (please ignore the occasional snoring). 3 years lasting until the end of FY2015 and $60B total (original $10B plus recently announced $50B addition). Working in a flower garden is great for clearing the noise from your mind. Contemplating the important things in life (where to put a late planting of Purple Dahlias and Red Geraniums) leaves no room for wild product speculation, the myriad of TA explanations of where AAPL may go, or Sponge's seeming weather changes. Amortizing that $60 Billion over 33 months, with a PPS of $500, results in an average buyback of approximately 11 million shares/month, or stated another way, over 500,000 shares per day. Apple's buyback is not showing up in daily volume averages as of Friday. Daily average is actually down from the January through March period. If Apple plans to purchase this quarter's "quota" before the end of June, then we are going to see one hell of a run up in the next 3 weeks. All of this assumes that AAPL is going to spread the buyback out evenly through the buyback period. But what if Apple is going to purchase shares via exercised Call Options? Wouldn't the best exercise date be June expiry (almost last week of June)? Looking at three items of interest, Max Pain for June is $460/$465, June $450 Call OI totals 22,xxx, and P/C Ratio has been on a Bullish tear, dropping from a ratio of 0.80:1 to 0.61:1 since May 16. Rather than go into a lengthy discussion of why I think the $450 Calls are significant, take a look at the Chain and look closely at the higher Strikes. This has me seriously rethinking my June Wk2 BCS order, and replacing it with a June $460/$465 BCS order at 90ยข (requires a pullback of ~$2.00 from Friday's Close).
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2013 15:53:00 GMT -8
I recommend listening in to Gruber and John Moltz. Fascinating that Gruber says that his contacts describe iOS7 as "polarizing" and that all rumors are wrong. He claims to know little about what's coming except for these two tidbits. www.muleradio.net/thetalkshow/43/
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2013 15:55:33 GMT -8
Mercel, wha?! At least wait until it goes to HD rental or something so you can give Apple a cut of the money. And if the movie flops, you won't wait very long. ;D Sounds like it is flopping already. And I'll enjoy that. Maybe I'll wear Google Glass. Haha
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 8, 2013 16:02:42 GMT -8
What a surprise that a redesigned iOS might polarize. Wasn't it the same for iOS generally? ;D
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2013 16:07:13 GMT -8
Gruber is disappointing me re: his comments re: Apple TV. An Apple SDK WITH a new Apple TV+ with onboard flash memory to run apps and bigger chip will come out together, or at least the hardware will be announced for availability later. Pricing could easily be $199 - $249.
The recent Apple TV "silent update" does NOT COUNT so don't let that sway you to thinking Apple can't launch a new one on Monday.
One of the new product/model #s was an outlier too, which could be the higher-powered Apple TV I've been hoping for. Or something else entirely.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2013 16:08:43 GMT -8
What a surprise that a redesigned iOS might polarize. Wasn't it the same for iOS generally? ;D Well, it certainly shuts down the speculation that Jony Ive has made subtle updates to the iOS aesthetic. The WWDC app looks good, ditching the gray gradient I hate. It's clean but could still use more color.
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 8, 2013 16:24:32 GMT -8
Thing is, Apple TV (iOS version anyway) isn't meant to be anything other than a media enabler, a companion. If that ever _changes_, I'll sit up and pay attention. Not that I might not get an Apple TV at some point in the next year, but I'm not getting my hopes up since it's STILL a single-core A5-based device. Let's see it move to even a dual-core A5 first.
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Post by wheeles on Jun 8, 2013 16:57:15 GMT -8
Hi all, long time lurker. First time poster. Just trying to learn this stuff. Question. Would yesterdays low constitute a second inverted right shoulder that would match an inverted left shoulder at the end of January? If so aren't 2 left and 2 right IHS even more bullish? That is assuming appl can break the neckline from here. Thanks. It could just be that AAPL is rangebound. What we are all looking for is AAPL to break out of the range, make a brief retest of the top of the range, and then carry on up without looking back. One thing to be wary of when trying to find patterns is that when you start looking, you just keep finding more and more. Every pattern usually has a confirmation signal associated with it. While a pattern may seem to be getting traced out, you still need a confirmation of the pattern to occur, otherwise it's just something that looks like the pattern in question, but may not turn out to be one. In short, it may walk like a duck, and it may sound like a duck, but it might just be someone doing an impression of a duck.
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Post by jmolloy on Jun 8, 2013 17:25:11 GMT -8
Oh No! There's been a leak! 10.9 has been shown! (not my image but I thought it was funny...)
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Post by jmolloy on Jun 8, 2013 17:33:54 GMT -8
Also if this is the iWatch, we're doomed...
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 8, 2013 17:40:27 GMT -8
Ah, Grumpy Cat.
Let's not forgot iOS Fail. Insert any Internet meme you like. Maybe some of the facepalms? (/sarcasm)
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2013 18:11:52 GMT -8
Also if this is the iWatch, we're doomed... Nope, but it does look like a camouflaged iPhone...nothing to see here AFAIK.
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Post by jmolloy on Jun 8, 2013 18:14:51 GMT -8
Nope, but it does look like a camouflaged iPhone...nothing to see here AFAIK. You won't supposed to take that seriously. I had to buy an arm mount for my iPod touch but sliding it down to my wrist made me think...
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Post by sponge on Jun 8, 2013 18:24:41 GMT -8
I recommend listening in to Gruber and John Moltz. Fascinating that Gruber says that his contacts describe iOS7 as "polarizing" and that all rumors are wrong. He claims to know little about what's coming except for these two tidbits. www.muleradio.net/thetalkshow/43/Polarizing is a strong word. It reminds me the first reaction to the iPhone 4 when it was found in a bar. Most people did not like it. Yet it was a hit among the non nerd masses. Interesting discusion regarding Apple TV. Sounds like a new set top box in the fall with new TV. What Gurber says makes sense. Those who are in the market for a new TV could buy one that has the Apple TV new hardware in it. To spend more money I suspect it would have to offer something more then the set top box. Monday looks to be a sneak view into some cool things coming out this fall. Personally I want an iPad Mini Retina for the wife and a smaller and lighter iPad 5. Then I will patiently wait for the bigger iPhone 6 next year.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2013 18:42:05 GMT -8
Here are my predictions:
100% 1. iOS7 (flat and DIFFERENT beyond subtle) 2. OSX (more integration w/iOS, Siri) 3. MacBook Airs and Pros w/Haswell (slimmer MacBook Pro 13") 4. iRadio 5. Apple TV SDK
70/30: 6. MacPro
50/50: 7. Airport Express/Time Capsule with 802.11ac 8. New Apple TV PLUS (flash memory) 9. New 27" Thunderbolt display 10. iMacs with Haswell
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2013 18:50:45 GMT -8
You won't supposed to take that seriously. I had to buy an arm mount for my iPod touch but sliding it down to my wrist made me think... Yeah, I thought that might be the case. But with so many rumors flying around, coupled with the blurry image, the line between bad and good rumors is a fine one. This one is definitely a bad one:
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 8, 2013 19:28:07 GMT -8
Nice, Mercel.
If I worked from your list, I'd move Apple TV SDK to 50/50, AirPort 802.11ac (both Extreme and Express, please!) to 70/30, Mac Pro to 100%, iMacs, less than 50/50.
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Post by lovemyipad on Jun 8, 2013 20:24:49 GMT -8
Hi all, long time lurker. First time poster. Just trying to learn this stuff. Question. Would yesterdays low constitute a second inverted right shoulder that would match an inverted left shoulder at the end of January? If so aren't 2 left and 2 right IHS even more bullish? That is assuming appl can break the neckline from here. Thanks. Nice to "see" you! Answers: potentially yes, and potentially yes. IMHO, even a drop to 420-ish could be considered working on the right shoulder. The whole market psychology behind the pattern shorthand is establishing support in that "shoulder" region, with the "head" being an overreaction / overthrow. And once support is establish (re-established), pushing into a new, higher range of approximately the same size.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 8, 2013 20:24:57 GMT -8
Nice, Mercel. If I worked from your list, I'd move Apple TV SDK to 50/50, AirPort 802.11ac (both Extreme and Express, please!) to 70/30, Mac Pro to 100%, iMacs, less than 50/50. We've heard so little about Mac Pro leaks that I'm thinking it could make an appearance w/new iMacs when they launch. Hence, the 70/30 odds. Airport upgrades should be in the offing as well, particularly with Apple TV SDK that I expect. I do think there's room for a rather substantial surprise on Monday.
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Post by tuffett on Jun 8, 2013 21:45:10 GMT -8
Since the other thread didn't take off, I'll post here what I want to see in iOS7. Basically, I care less about the look (which is what 90% of the discussion has been about) and more about performance.
- Improved Siri (voice recognition and response time). Right now it's not good enough for me to use other than in my car to make a call - and that only works if there isn't much background noise (ok, I have a crappy car...)
- Fixing the stupid alarm clock and podcast bugs regarding accessing cellular data, even though my data is always turned on by default. Frankly I am really annoyed that this has not yet been fixed via an update. I don't know if anyone else has this issue but it's well documented. This one just drives me insane and makes me wonder WTF Apple is doing. Pisses me off every time I set my alarm or listen to a podcast. It's not good that I have more issues with Apple apps than 3rd party apps.
- More easily accessible basic functions. How about being able to turn on Bluetooth from the lock screen? I only use it in my car and having to navigate through settings for something so simple and frequently used is a PITA.
- "Send by SMS" feature to bypass a non-working iMessage should be customizable to each contact, or at least by local/international numbers. I will happily send an SMS to anyone local but I wouldn't do it and pay international text message fees to my international contacts. This is really a no-brainer and would take iMessage from great to near perfect (intermittent data outages aside). Right now it is too inconvenient so I have the feature disabled. This results in some people getting my iMessages hours after I send it (not everyone has a data plan yet, and they may be on iPod touch or iPad).
- Proper transit integration in Maps. Isn't it about time? I don't want to connect through a crappy 3rd party app to get my bus routes. I use Google Maps for this and I hate to do so but it blows Apple Maps out of the water for this purpose. I don't know what's taking so long.
- A "smarter" location recognition in Maps. When I type a street or landmark Maps often takes me somewhere on a different continent. The exact same query is found effortlessly in Google Maps correctly. While Apple's UI and turn-by-turn nav is far better than Google Maps (and the reason I use it), it is still quite clearly lacking in basic essential functionality.
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 8, 2013 22:48:24 GMT -8
Answers: potentially yes, and potentially yes. IMHO, even a drop to 420-ish could be considered working on the right shoulder. The whole market psychology behind the pattern shorthand is establishing support in that "shoulder" region, with the "head" being an overreaction / overthrow. And once support is establish (re-established), pushing into a new, higher range of approximately the same size. I would add that which iPad already knows, but is worth saying to people newer to technicals - we can only know if a pattern triggered in retrospect. IMHO, if AAPL were to hit 420, it would be in a very, very tricky technical spot. Holding 433ish would be much better, or at least staying above it end of day - WWDC has the potential to get a little crazy.
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Post by wheeles on Jun 9, 2013 2:18:29 GMT -8
You won't supposed to take that seriously. I had to buy an arm mount for my iPod touch but sliding it down to my wrist made me think... Yeah, I thought that might be the case. But with so many rumors flying around, coupled with the blurry image, the line between bad and good rumors is a fine one. This one is definitely a bad one: If that thing can shoot crossbow bolts as well, then I'm a buyer.
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Post by macwire on Jun 9, 2013 4:30:02 GMT -8
Answers: potentially yes, and potentially yes. IMHO, even a drop to 420-ish could be considered working on the right shoulder. The whole market psychology behind the pattern shorthand is establishing support in that "shoulder" region, with the "head" being an overreaction / overthrow. And once support is establish (re-established), pushing into a new, higher range of approximately the same size. I would add that which iPad already knows, but is worth saying to people newer to technicals - we can only know if a pattern triggered in retrospect. IMHO, if AAPL were to hit 420, it would be in a very, very tricky technical spot. Holding 433ish would be much better, or at least staying above it end of day - WWDC has the potential to get a little crazy. Right. Sometimes people new to technicals get a little fixated on patterns having exact symmetry as well. It's clear that a inverted h and s is developing but price has to prove that's what is going on. And WWDC will likely confirm it/invalidate it.
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Post by lance on Jun 9, 2013 8:03:27 GMT -8
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Post by Deleted on Jun 9, 2013 8:05:28 GMT -8
Reviewing old WWDC videos, I'm going to back off on my prediction for new hardware by 10% (90% chance w/MacBooks). It is possible that if Apple really has a full keynote, Apple could hold its new Macs back for a follow up event dedicated to hardware.
In last year's intro, Tim Cook introduced the agenda for the keynote -- we should know early if new MacBooks are going to be introduced just after 10am PST Monday
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Post by Red Shirted Ensign on Jun 9, 2013 8:07:03 GMT -8
I don't get excited about much anymore.....maybe the early bird special at Sizzler....
But this WWDC has me wound up. I feel that Apple has been biding its time since last Fall building the master strategy. We've seen none of it....just hints and supposition.....but tomorrow we will see much more of the roadmap.
All the TBD sessions in the big room has me intrigued....
I want lots of Jony...a fair amount of Eddy...and Tim at his best.
And I want Wall Street caught on its heels.
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Post by Red Shirted Ensign on Jun 9, 2013 8:10:33 GMT -8
That OS X wave banner is driving me a bit nuts.......too much symbolism in the colors, font, shape, motion....
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