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Post by artman1033 on May 5, 2015 13:58:07 GMT -8
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Post by phoebear611 on May 5, 2015 14:10:41 GMT -8
I care about near term when I have short term options on which is often. I keep a core position but I do my trading with the short term options. So I care short term and long term....I guess I ALWAYS care...go figure!
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Post by rickag on May 5, 2015 15:13:11 GMT -8
................ If there in late August, I can then sell a few shares at LTCG rates ........... I What exactly does "Larry The Cable Guy" have to do with rates?
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JDSoCal
Member
Aspiring oligarch
Posts: 4,183
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Post by JDSoCal on May 5, 2015 19:16:41 GMT -8
Why care so much about the very short term price of AAPL? Well, aside from killing my trading activities, this price action suggests that AAPL is immune to unequivocally good news, and makes a more general statement about of the value fundamental analysis and due diligence in this random casino. If a solid, unqualified beat can't raise the stock price, what the hell will? Faith?
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bud777
fire starter
Posts: 1,352
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Post by bud777 on May 5, 2015 19:55:06 GMT -8
Why care so much about the very short term price of AAPL? Well, aside from killing my trading activities, this price action suggests that AAPL is immune to unequivocally good news, and makes a more general statement about of the value fundamental analysis and due diligence in this random casino. If a solid, unqualified beat can't raise the stock price, what the hell will? Faith? I posted this in Braeburn this morning: IMHO, I think investors are still afraid of a repeat of the 700 to 400 drop after 2012. The “thinking” goes that Apple had these last two huge quarters because they capitulated and produced the iPhone 6 and 6+ form factors. Given the dependence on iPhone, investors do not see how Apple can provide this kind of stimulus again. Hence the references to “one-trick pony” and “law of large numbers”. No one wants to be holding Apple when they are unable to match the extraordinary results that they showed in the past two quarters. This perverse thought process is like “Pre-FUD”. In anticipation of the “Apple has peaked” FUD that might be published next January, investors are just giving it a pass. I think this is especially foolish and superficial because it ignores the incredible expansion of Apple’s market made possible by China Mobile and it completely ignores the impact of Apple Pay, the Watch and the soon to be announced Apple TV. Still, it is what it is and the first rule of trading is “don’t fight the market”. Investing in a stock is like joining a club. When you buy BRK-A, you know that the majority of investors are just going to hold the stock long term and the sheer cost of the stock has screened out most of the impetuous players. With Apple, you sign up to be surrounded by unsophisticated get-rich-quick investors (present company excepted, since you are doing research) who will be swayed by emotion. Right now, the emotion is fear As Shiller said in the Maid of Orleans, "Against stupidity the very Gods themselves contend in vain"
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JDSoCal
Member
Aspiring oligarch
Posts: 4,183
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Post by JDSoCal on May 5, 2015 21:59:25 GMT -8
Well, aside from killing my trading activities, this price action suggests that AAPL is immune to unequivocally good news, and makes a more general statement about of the value fundamental analysis and due diligence in this random casino. If a solid, unqualified beat can't raise the stock price, what the hell will? Faith? Nonetheless, I'll read it anyway, as it may still have merit. Of course, as you know, the present situation is not analogous, since in Q4 2012, Apple missed, and guided far lower than the Street was expecting for Q1. This time, we had a significant beat and good guidance. And yet the stock is performing like Red after 9 beers.
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