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Post by lovemyipad on Apr 26, 2013 15:20:31 GMT -8
An update on this one... AAPL 1H CHART:
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Post by lovemyipad on Jun 1, 2013 9:14:38 GMT -8
The current bump-and-grind looks like this: AAPL INTRADAY 15-MIN CHART: Green= length of upwave/downwave Blue = % extension or retrace from previous move
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 1, 2013 9:29:30 GMT -8
We totally have a measurable uptrend-in-an-uptrend thing going on here.
418.90-457.1...shoulda noticed earlier.
If we bounce/stay over 448/442, bullish thesis is still intact by that metric. Technically includes all the way down to 433 but there's too many levels and averages (etc.!) above 433 for comfort.
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Post by lovemyipad on Jun 1, 2013 13:29:15 GMT -8
Mav, picking up from discussion from EW thread... AAPL DAILY CHART: two consolidation periods in 2011 See how the top-ish area from one range became the bottom-ish area for the next range? And see how the top-ish area for that second range might, just *might* now be our bottom-ish area?
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Post by lovemyipad on Jun 1, 2013 13:39:24 GMT -8
Zooming out, here are some other intermediate-term "consolidation" periods that came after a huge move: AAPL DAILY CHART: consolidation periods
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 1, 2013 14:00:31 GMT -8
Broader markets may have a say in this too. Really seems like they need to cool off for the good of bull markets long-term.
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Post by lovemyipad on Jun 1, 2013 14:04:09 GMT -8
One more conjecture... AAPL DAILY CHART:
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Post by lovemyipad on Jun 1, 2013 14:04:55 GMT -8
Broader markets may have a say in this too. Really seems like they need to cool off for the good of bull markets long-term. They may have a say, but I don't know what their say will be. We have gone up in down markets, down in up markets. Now what?
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 1, 2013 14:28:56 GMT -8
One more conjecture... AAPL DAILY CHART: To me, it's "pretty clear" that 460ish, then 465ish, then 470ish are hugely important action levels. If AAPL convincingly fails any of the levels, that's probably bad in the short-to-medium term, though a failure of any level above 460 will probably _not_ spark a selloff immediately unless 460 or some major level/action area/whatever by then fails to hold. Of course, the truth is in the price, so I'll try and watch tick by tick when I can if AAPL ever does make a serious run at 460.
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 1, 2013 14:36:31 GMT -8
Broader markets may have a say in this too. Really seems like they need to cool off for the good of bull markets long-term. They may have a say, but I don't know what their say will be. We have gone up in down markets, down in up markets. Now what? Who knows? I'm just thinking AAPL would have a tough time skyrocketing if the other markets go into correction mode. See the SPX around those choppy periods for AAPL.
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Post by Deleted on Jun 2, 2013 21:43:13 GMT -8
They may have a say, but I don't know what their say will be. We have gone up in down markets, down in up markets. Now what? Who knows? I'm just thinking AAPL would have a tough time skyrocketing if the other markets go into correction mode. See the SPX around those choppy periods for AAPL. Actually I don't think market direction is going to matter much. If money flows are negative for the broader markets, some of it will find its way to AAPL, just because the corner has been turned on an acknowledged undervalued equity.
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Post by lovemyipad on Jun 9, 2013 9:59:01 GMT -8
AAPL INTRADAY 15-MIN CHART: Bump & Grind
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Post by lovemyipad on Jun 13, 2013 10:38:52 GMT -8
AAPL INTRADAY 15-MIN CHART: Fib (expansion) Levels
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 13, 2013 11:10:29 GMT -8
SO CONFUSED Or maybe rangebound?
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Post by lovemyipad on Jun 13, 2013 11:40:58 GMT -8
See 50% retrace in green Fib grid. Are the machines dyslexic today?
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 13, 2013 11:42:29 GMT -8
Huh?
Anyway, AAPL isn't doing awesome enough for me to take my Oct hedge off yet. And volume is still quite low.
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jun 13, 2013 12:25:46 GMT -8
Micro IHS trigger? Needs 440ish for confirmation.
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Post by lovemyipad on Jun 21, 2013 14:17:45 GMT -8
Here's this one again, measuring from the last smooshie breakdown. AAPL INTRADAY 15-MIN: (Fib grid = 437.07 to 428.50 expanded to 435.70)
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Post by lovemyipad on Jul 1, 2013 13:15:17 GMT -8
AAPL INTRADAY 2H CHART: Fibs
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jul 1, 2013 14:18:34 GMT -8
It's very nice that AAPL finally picked itself off the lower BB, and is showing big power from the lower bound of my tinfoil channel.
OTOH, volume _still_ is quite low. New normal?
I'll take an inside day or better considering how light tomorrow's trading should be.
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Post by lovemyipad on Jul 1, 2013 14:28:05 GMT -8
Could be new normal. Could be the shortened holiday week.
LOL re: "very nice that...."
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jul 1, 2013 15:12:27 GMT -8
Uh oh. Wasn't really supposed to be funny there.
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Post by lovemyipad on Jul 2, 2013 13:47:34 GMT -8
AAPL INTRADAY 1 MIN CHART: Fibs
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Post by rickag on Jul 3, 2013 5:25:29 GMT -8
.................. OTOH, volume _still_ is quite low. New normal? ................. New normal? Good question, for the time being I would think so. The big money seems to be waiting on a new product category or added carriers, or both.
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jul 3, 2013 13:31:18 GMT -8
Another potential IHS setting up?
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Post by lovemyipad on Jul 12, 2013 16:24:02 GMT -8
Technicals for Non-Technicals Chart:
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Jul 12, 2013 16:39:05 GMT -8
Doing decently well when considering A and B.
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Post by lovemyipad on Jul 19, 2013 13:33:11 GMT -8
AAPL INTRADAY 1H CHART:
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Post by lovemyipad on Aug 10, 2013 10:57:23 GMT -8
AAPL INTRADAY 2H CHART: Trendlines
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Mav
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Post by Mav on Aug 10, 2013 11:13:34 GMT -8
As a "top channel", interesting and potentially depressing. I'm nervously comparing the current action with the May 6-13 or whatever top/cascade.
Multiple ways to look at it, but one heuristic I'm thinking about is AAPL holding 450 (maybe high 440s, since targets vacillate between on-the-nose and ranges without warning), otherwise the trend is heavily in favor of micro bearish (at which point I'd consider quick-trading puts).
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